Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 57.559339 65.634950 73.922156 83.027756 92.718368 102.692735 113.704694
2026-01-18 44.652289 56.080004 68.385095 82.475680 98.030671 114.558134 133.331119
2026-01-25 37.475301 50.729216 65.523627 82.963544 102.690823 124.079106 148.798850
2026-02-01 31.331117 45.670719 62.237845 82.289576 105.458525 131.009838 160.964520
2026-02-08 26.740156 41.850712 59.877714 82.213844 108.496573 137.895691 172.762604
2026-02-15 22.520127 37.998898 57.083112 81.278892 110.245709 143.074516 182.419423
2026-02-22 19.893982 35.888088 56.175804 82.391235 114.214170 150.652961 194.679404
2026-03-01 17.787411 34.234616 55.663310 83.835596 118.456514 158.455392 207.119855
2026-03-08 15.004256 31.341923 53.338838 82.853378 119.639163 162.570211 215.206959
2026-03-15 12.337543 28.304437 50.596598 81.157741 119.803423 165.365166 221.656608
2026-03-22 11.654134 28.188960 51.737358 84.389661 125.989617 175.288232 236.431648
2026-03-29 10.567963 27.316954 51.758298 86.110783 130.262015 182.898068 248.470549
2026-04-05 8.903319 25.327654 50.123756 85.615813 131.761432 187.204588 256.668855
2026-04-12 7.444034 23.487482 48.578641 85.150376 133.236208 191.441884 264.761750
2026-04-19 6.395451 22.229043 47.788469 85.629361 135.856474 197.031030 274.433580
2026-04-26 5.215791 20.523032 46.210753 84.946710 136.923913 200.675535 281.742379
2026-05-03 4.310763 19.198747 45.121169 84.869067 138.721797 205.180996 290.057864
2026-05-10 3.371882 17.588758 43.467450 83.917685 139.320429 208.160147 296.497090
2026-05-17 2.891140 16.936616 43.304573 85.049671 142.632338 214.495703 306.994061
2026-05-24 2.513293 16.459472 43.392777 86.519389 146.377236 221.365020 318.138728
2026-05-31 1.864207 15.052802 41.824325 85.519950 146.792287 224.032099 324.138592
2026-06-07 1.255942 13.469167 39.821746 83.794369 146.170561 225.347777 328.448243
2026-06-14 1.215499 13.775929 41.179681 87.083126 152.327506 235.243157 343.297582